XRP technical analysis today [x]
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[11/24/2025] XRP Price Volatility Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Breakdown (1H – 12H – 1D) and 10 Probability Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours


Generated Image November 24, 2025 - 10_55PM.jpeg

Introduction​


XRP continues to attract strong market attention thanks to its high liquidity, rapid volatility cycles, and consistent participation from both short-term and long-term traders. Based on the chart data you provided, this article delivers a comprehensive, SEO-optimized analysis of XRP's price structure across three key timeframes - 1 hour, 12 hours, and 1 day - along with a detailed breakdown of market indicators such as RSI, MACD, BBW, and OBV.

At the end of the article, you'll also find 10 statistically estimated price-movement scenarios for the next 24 hours, formatted in the required table structure.

1-Hour Timeframe Analysis (1H)​


screenshot (14).png

1. Price Structure​


On the 1H chart, XRP is consolidating within the 2.06 – 2.08 USD range. This narrow range signals that the market is currently indecisive, with both buyers and sellers waiting for a catalyst.

2. Rsi (14)​


RSI at~56 indicates a neutral state.

This means the market is neither overheated nor oversold, a common sign of pre-breakout compression.

3. Macd​


MACD on the 1H timeframe is almost flat, showing very low momentum. This aligns with the current consolidation phase.

4. BBW (Bollinger Band Width)​


Low BBW suggests that volatility is tightening. Historically, this pattern precedes a strong move in either direction.

5. Obv​


OBV trending sideways reflects a lack of strong inflows or outflows.

This confirms the absence of whale-driven directional pressure.

1H Summary​


The 1-hour chart shows accumulation and volatility compression, often a precursor to a breakout within the next 24 hours.

12-Hour Timeframe Analysis (12H)​


screenshot (13).png


1. Trend Structure​


XRP remains in a mid-term correction phase after its previous rally.

MA25 remains below MA99 - a typical short-term downtrend signal.

2. Rsi​


RSI around 45–46 continues to reflect weakness but not capitulation.

3. Macd​


Although MACD remains negative, it is slowly flattening, indicating that selling pressure is easing.

4. Volume​


Volume on the 12H chart is significantly lower than during the previous bullish cycle.

This suggests that the market is stabilizing but not yet trending.

12H Summary​


The 12-hour timeframe points to a cooling-down phase with diminishing selling pressure but no confirmed strong bullish reversal.

1-Day Timeframe Analysis (1D)​


screenshot (12).png

1. Trend Overview​


On the daily chart, XRP shows a broader correction from recent highs near 3.5 USD.

MA7 < MA25 < MA99 confirms a sustained downtrend structure.

2. Rsi​


RSI at~40 shows that XRP is approaching deeper value zones but has not yet reached oversold levels.

3. Macd​


MACD remains bearish with consecutive negative histogram bars.

However, the downward slope is slowing, indicating potential early stabilization.

4. Volume​


Daily volume continues to decline - a typical characteristic of a market preparing for accumulation.

1D Summary​


The daily chart suggests that XRP is in a macro consolidation phase, absorbing previous selling pressure and potentially preparing for a medium-term trend shift.

10 Price-Movement Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​


ScenarioDescription & AnalysisProbability
1. Sideways continuationPrice holds around 2.08 USD as momentum remains weak and indicators neutral.35%
2. Mild upside breakoutPrice pushes above 2.12–2.15 USD supported by short-term liquidity.20%
3. Drop to lower supportIf 2.00 USD breaks, price may fall toward 1.95 USD.15%
4. Sharp upward rallyTriggered by positive fundamental or whale flows, price targets~2.30 USD.8%
5. Sharp downward moveNegative news or large sell orders could push XRP down to~1.80 USD.7%
6. Bull trapPrice briefly breaks above 2.15 but fails, reversing quickly.6%
7. Bear trapPrice dips under 2.00 USD then aggressively rebounds to 2.05–2.10 USD.5%
8. Low-volatility compressionBBW continues tightening, price fluctuates only ±0.03 USD.3%
9. Whale-driven volume spikeSudden spike up or down due to algorithmic or whale activity.1%
10. Strong divergence eventMulti-indicator divergence causes a surprising directional breakout.0.5%

Conclusion​


Across all timeframes, XRP is currently in a compressed volatility phase, with the 1-hour chart being the closest to signaling an impending breakout. The 12-hour chart reflects diminishing selling pressure, while the daily chart highlights a larger consolidation structure.

Traders should monitor the 2.00 – 2.15 USD zone, as it will likely determine whether XRP breaks upward or downward in the next 24 hours.

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[11/26/2025] XRP Price Volatility Analysis Based on 1H – 12H – 1D Timeframes


Generated Image November 26, 2025 - 8_32PM (1).  Jpeg

1-Hour (1H) Technical Analysis​


The 1H chart currently shows price movement consolidating between 2.14–2.22 USD, signaling reduced volatility but increasing tension. XRP has been trading below the MA99, while MA7 and MA25 sit close to the current price, indicating a weak short-term trend.

screenshot (14).  Png

RSI (1H) remains in the lower-neutral range (40–45), suggesting bearish pressure is still present but far from oversold conditions. As long as the RSI stays under the 50 line, bullish strength may remain limited.

MACD (1H) shows a mild bearish crossover, highlighting weakening upward momentum. However, the histogram signals decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential for sideways accumulation.

Volume (1H) continues to decline, confirming a phase of market indecision. Paired with a tightening Bollinger Band Width, this environment often precedes a stronger price move.

Overall 1H Outlook:

The short-term bias leans toward neutral-to-bearish until a volume-driven breakout occurs. Key reaction levels remain at 2.14 (support) and 2.22 (resistance).

12-Hour (12H) Technical Analysis​


The 12H timeframe presents a clearer picture of medium-term consolidation. After a substantial rally earlier followed by a multi-week correction, XRP is now forming a structural base.

screenshot (13).  Png

Moving Averages (12H) :

Price is below MA25 → trend remains weak

Price near MA7 → short-term stabilization

Price far below MA99 → long-term downtrend not yet reversed

RSI (12H) sits around the midline (49–50), reflecting market equilibrium. This level typically appears during accumulation phases.

MACD (12H) continues to flatten, with histogram bars approaching zero. While still in negative territory, MACD could approach a bullish crossover if buying pressure increases.

OBV (12H) shows stabilized inflow/outflow after previous distribution, consistent with accumulation behavior.

BBW (12H) is moderately compressed, indicating the market is preparing for a new medium-term trend.

Overall 12H Outlook:

Price is stabilizing but lacks a clear breakout. Support at 2.10–2.14 USD and resistance at 2.25 USD remain critical for direction confirmation.

1-Day (1D) Technical Analysis​


The 1D chart reflects the broader trend and long-term trader sentiment. Despite a structured downtrend, selling momentum has weakened substantially.

screenshot (12).  Png

Moving Averages (1D) :

MA7 < MA25 < MA99 → classical bearish alignment

This configuration indicates the long-term trend has not yet reversed, though the distance between MA curves is narrowing.

Volume (1D) has declined toward its average baseline, suggesting that both bulls and bears are waiting for a catalyst.

RSI (1D) near 45 signals a neutral environment with slight bearish tilt. During prolonged consolidations, this level is common before the market chooses a breakout direction.

MACD (1D) is negative but flattening; a bullish shift may emerge soon if momentum increases.

OBV (1D) remains steady, indicating no significant large-scale distribution.

BBW (1D) continues to narrow, which statistically precedes a major price expansion phase.

Overall 1D Outlook:

XRP is building a long-term base. Although still in a bearish trend, indicators suggest the possibility of a bullish reversal if volume returns. The 2.00–2.10 USD zone remains a vital long-term support, while the 2.25–2.30 USD region is a major multi-day resistance cluster.

10 Possible Price Scenarios for XRP in the Next 24 Hours​


ScenarioDescription & AnalysisProbability
1XRP rebounds from 2.14–2.16 USD and breaks above 2.22 USD on stronger volume and positive MACD signals.20%
2Price consolidates within 2.14–2.22 USD as volatility remains compressed.30%
3A mild drop tests 2.10–2.14 USD support due to persistent selling pressure.15%
4Strong breakdown below 2.10 USD, dipping toward 2.00 USD in a bearish push.10%
5False breakdown to 2.05–2.10 USD followed by recovery to 2.18–2.20 USD.8%
6Short bullish breakout above 2.22 USD fails quickly, causing a drop back to 2.17–2.18 USD.7%
7Strong bullish move triggers a breakout to 2.25–2.30 USD if large buy orders enter.5%
8Light decline followed by range-bound trading between 2.12–2.18 USD (accumulation phase). 25%
9Sharp intraday volatility swings (±5%) around 2.15 USD due to thin liquidity or news catalysts.12%
10Severe breakdown under 1.95 USD triggered by unexpected market-wide negative events.3%

Combined Outlook​


Across the 1H, 12H, and 1D charts, XRP shows clear signs of compression and stabilization. Market structure points toward a major breakout in the near future, though most indicators favor consolidation in the next 24 hours.

Key levels to watch:

Major support: 2.10–2.14 USD

Major resistance: 2.22–2.30 USD

Traders should monitor volume, MACD crossovers, and Bollinger Band expansions for early confirmation of direction.

 

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