[11/24/2025] Comprehensive Analysis of BTC Price Volatility: 1-Hour, 12-Hour, and 1-Day Timeframes with 10 Possible Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to exhibit significant volatility across multiple timeframes, driven by weakening momentum, expanding volatility bands, and shifts in market liquidity. In this in-depth analysis, we break down BTC's behavior through the 1-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day charts while highlighting key technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, MA clusters, volume flow, and OBV. At the end of the article, you'll find a probability-weighted table of 10 potential BTC scenarios in the next 24 hours.



This article aims to help readers better understand near-term BTC volatility and market structure changes.

1. BTC Analysis on the 1-Hour Chart​

On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC remains in a clear short-term downtrend characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows.

Key Observations​

Moving Averages (MA 25 & MA 99)

MA 25 is positioned below MA 99, confirming a bearish short-term structure.

The gap between the two moving averages remains wide, signaling a persistent downtrend without early signs of reversal.

Rsi (14)

RSI is hovering near 49, indicating neutral momentum.

The indicator has exited oversold territory, suggesting the recent bounce is a weak technical rebound rather than a strong reversal.

Macd

MACD remains below both the signal line and the zero line.

Although histogram bars are gradually shrinking, they do not yet indicate a bullish crossover.

Volume Profile

No significant spike in volume during recovery candles.

Low-volume rebounds typically reflect a lack of buyer conviction.

1-Hour Chart Summary​

BTC is showing mild recovery but remains structurally bearish. A decisive break above 87, 000–88, 000 USD on strong volume would shift momentum. However, a breakdown below 84, 000 USD could trigger fresh sell pressure.

2. BTC Analysis on the 12-Hour Chart​

The 12-hour chart offers a medium-term perspective, and the market remains biased toward a downtrend.

Key Technical Signals​

Moving Averages (MA 25 & MA 99)

MA 25 has crossed below MA 99, signaling a breakdown of the medium-term bullish structure.

This often precedes multi-session declines unless buyers return with strong volume.

Rsi (14)

RSI around 35 indicates increased bearish pressure.

The level is close to oversold territory but not low enough to confirm a reversal.

Macd

MACD continues to descend sharply.

The wide distance between MACD and the signal line indicates ongoing bearish acceleration.

Volume Behavior

Selling volume increases during down legs, reinforcing the bearish momentum.

Bollinger Band Width (BBW)

BBW expansion indicates growing volatility, suggesting BTC may experience strong moves in the short term.

12-Hour Chart Summary​

BTC's medium-term structure remains bearish. The price sits near a critical demand zone at 84, 000–85, 000 USD. Strong buy pressure is required to stabilize the chart. Otherwise, BTC may continue trending downward.

3. BTC Analysis on the 1-Day Chart​

The 1-day timeframe offers the clearest view of BTC's macro short-term trend. BTC shows signs of being oversold while still in an intact downtrend.

Key Technical Highlights​

Moving Averages (MA 7 – MA 25 – MA 99)

MA 7 is below MA 25.

Price is trading below all major MAs (7, 25, and 99).

→ Clear bearish alignment.

Rsi (14)

RSI~28 indicates oversold conditions.

Historically, BTC often sees at least a short-term rebound when RSI drops below 30.

Macd

MACD is deeply negative, though histogram bars are narrowing.

This often signals slowing bearish pressure but not a confirmed reversal.

OBV (On-Balance Volume)

OBV continues to trend downward, suggesting sustained selling pressure.

No signs of accumulation from large buyers.

Volume Activity

Higher volume on selling candles confirms real selling interest.

1-Day Chart Summary​

BTC is in a major support area and heavily oversold, but without strong inflows, the trend remains bearish. Sustainable reversal requires BTC to reclaim 90, 000 USD with volume expansion.

4. Ten BTC Price Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​

Conclusion​

Across the 1-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day charts, BTC generally remains in a bearish phase with signs of oversold conditions. While short-term rebounds may occur, the broader trend remains weak unless BTC recaptures higher price levels with convincing volume. Traders should closely monitor the 84, 000–90, 000 USD zone, as price action here will likely dictate the next directional move.

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[11/26/2025] BTC Price Volatility Outlook – Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis (1H, 12H, 1D)​

1H Timeframe Analysis​

The 1-hour chart reflects the clearest short-term weakness. Price action repeatedly interacts with the moving averages from above, failing to break through.



RSI remains slightly below neutral, suggesting buyers are not active enough to shift momentum. MACD remains in bearish territory with a flattening slope, indicating a potential short consolidation phase rather than an immediate trend reversal.

Volume continues to taper during upward retracement candles-an indication that dips are still being sold aggressively.

The 86–87k region is emerging as a key intraday balance zone, showing repeated consolidation and acting as temporary support.

12H Timeframe Analysis​

The 12-hour chart confirms a stronger and more mature downtrend. Price has broken below mid-term MAs and continues to trail beneath them without a successful retest.



RSI stays low but not oversold, implying further downside remains possible.

MACD widens negatively, showing sustained bearish momentum. Any rebound at this stage risks becoming a failed rally rather than a trend shift.

The OBV line trends steadily downward, signaling continuous capital outflow and a distribution phase rather than accumulation.

1D Timeframe Analysis​

The daily timeframe provides the broader context:



Bitcoin's mid-trend structure has transitioned into a confirmed downtrend. Price has slipped beneath major support zones and now trades in a deeper correction channel.

RSI sits under 40, reinforcing bearish control while still leaving room for additional downside before exhaustion.

MACD on the 1D timeframe shows strong negative separation-momentum remains firmly bearish.

Volume upticks during selling sessions validate the strength of sellers, further reinforcing the current direction of the trend.

Volatility and Bollinger Band Assessment​

Bollinger Bands on the 1H and 12H chart are narrowing, signaling an imminent volatility expansion.

When BB compression aligns with a broader downtrend, probabilities often favor the breakout occurring downward-unless a large spike in buying volume appears.

Key Support & Resistance Zones​

Support Levels:

• 86k – 85k (local support)

• 83k – 82k (medium support)

• 78k – 76k (macro support)

Resistance Levels:

• 88k – 90k (local resistance)

• 92k – 94k (major resistance)

• 98k – 100k (macro resistance)

A break below 85k could trigger stops and accelerate the decline toward 82k.

Conversely, a 1-hour close above 90k with strong volume may signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Market Sentiment Insights​

Long periods of decline often create defensive market psychology. Many short-term traders reduce exposure, leading to lower liquidity and increasing the likelihood of sudden spikes or flash crashes.

Long-term investors, however, typically reduce selling pressure during dips, creating pockets of consolidation that precede strong directional moves.

BTC Price Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​

Extended Summary​

Across all timeframes, BTC displays synchronized bearish structure, declining momentum, and weakening buyer participation-a pattern typical of late correction phases.

Although the dominant direction remains bearish, early signals of micro-divergence on the 1H chart suggest the possibility of a technical bounce.

For the next 24 hours, the 85k and 90k zones will be crucial in determining short-term direction. Traders should expect controlled volatility unless external catalysts intervene.

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[11/29/2025] BTC Price Volatility Analysis – Full Technical Outlook Across 1H, 12H, and 1D Timeframes​

1. BTC 1-Hour Chart (1H) Analysis​

The 1-hour timeframe highlights immediate intraday momentum, short-term volatility patterns, and early structural shifts.

1.1 Moving Averages (MA7, MA25, MA99)​

MA7 remains below MA25, signaling short-term weakness.

MA25 trades below MA99, confirming that downward pressure still dominates on lower timeframes.

Despite mild recovery attempts, Bitcoin continues to struggle to flip short-term moving averages into support.

This alignment supports a weak intraday trend and reinforces the idea that BTC may require stronger buying pressure to break higher.

1.2 rsi (14)​

RSI hovers around 45, indicating neutral-to-bearish momentum.

Not yet oversold, meaning there is room for additional downside before buyers gain a stronger edge.

1.3 macd​

MACD remains below the signal line with a still-negative histogram.

Selling momentum, although weaker, has not reversed decisively.

This suggests caution for bulls attempting to reclaim short-term control.

1.4 Bollinger Band Width (BBW)​

BBW is extremely narrow (~0.01), signaling volatility compression.

Historically, such tight squeezes often precede large directional moves.

1H Summary​

The 1-hour chart shows a market in consolidation, awaiting a catalyst.

Key intraday levels:

Support: $89, 500–$90, 000

Resistance: $92, 000–$92, 500

2. BTC 12-Hour Chart (12H) Analysis​

The 12-hour chart provides a broader perspective, capturing medium-term momentum and institutional trading behavior.

2.1 Moving Averages​

BTC remains below MA7 and MA25, indicating persistent bearish pressure.

MA25 crossing below MA99 further validates a medium-term downtrend.

MA99 near $102, 000 forms a major overhead barrier.

2.2 rsi (14)​

RSI stabilizes at 48, showing slight recovery but still below the bullish threshold of 50.

Momentum remains neutral with a mild bearish bias.

2.3 macd​

MACD attempts to turn upward from deep negative territory.

Histogram contraction suggests weakening bearish force.

Potential early signs of bullish divergence forming.

2.4 OBV (On-Balance Volume)​

OBV has been declining but recently shows stabilization.

Reduced selling volume may hint at accumulation.

12H Summary​

The 12-hour chart does not confirm a bullish reversal, but it does show weakening selling pressure. Any sustained hold above $90, 000 may encourage a medium-term recovery.

3. BTC 1-Day Chart (1D) Analysis​

The daily chart remains the most significant timeframe for trend validation.

3.1 Moving Averages​

Price stays below MA7 and MA25, confirming a corrective trend.

MA25 turning downward strengthens the bearish narrative.

MA99 above $108, 000 marks a long-term barrier.

3.2 rsi (14)​

RSI around 40 reflects a moderately bearish sentiment without entering extreme oversold conditions.

3.3 macd​

MACD remains negative but shows reduced bearish momentum.

Histogram shrinkage opens the door for a possible bullish crossover in the coming days.

3.4 Volume Profile​

Declining daily volume indicates reduced market participation.

Usually a precursor to a breakout once volatility expands again.

1D Summary​

BTC remains in a broader downtrend, yet sellers appear to be losing strength. The next 24–48 hours may define whether Bitcoin extends its decline or begins a structural recovery.

4. Top 10 Probable BTC Price Scenarios in the Next 24 Hours​

5. Final Outlook​

Across all major timeframes, BTC is entering a tight compression phase where volatility is likely to expand soon. While bearish structure remains visible on higher timeframes, weakening downward momentum suggests the market may be preparing for a decisive move.

Traders should closely monitor:

Reaction at the $90, 000 support

Volatility expansion from the Bollinger squeeze

MACD curve behavior on the 12H and 1D charts

Changes in volume and order flow

A breakout-up or down-may occur within the next 24 hours.

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[12/08/2025] Bitcoin Price Volatility: Multi-Timeframe Analysis (1H – 12H – 1D) and 24-Hour Scenarios​

If you've been watching Bitcoin lately, you've probably noticed how its price moves in waves - sometimes calm, sometimes chaotic. In this article, I'll walk you through what's happening on the charts across the 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes so you can better understand the next possible moves.

Market Overview​

The global crypto market remains highly sensitive to liquidity changes, sentiment shifts, and macroeconomic news. Bitcoin continues to act as the anchor for the entire market, shaping trends and influencing risk appetite.

Many traders today focus on simple questions like whether crypto is recovering, how strong market sentiment is, and what signals to watch before the next upswing. Momentum indicators, moving averages, volume profiles, and daily candle structures now point to a period of stabilization. This usually means the market is preparing for its next move - but the direction still depends on incoming catalysts.

1-Hour Timeframe: Short-Term Price Behavior​

The 1H chart reflects immediate market reactions:



RSI is holding near the midline, showing balance between buyers and sellers rather than strong direction.

MACD lines are converging, often signaling an upcoming burst in volatility.

Trading volume sits at a moderate level, suggesting cautious activity and fewer aggressive trades.

Short-term moving averages remain below longer-term averages, keeping a slight bearish tilt, though the price is attempting small recoveries.

Overall, the 1H timeframe shows compression - a tight range where sudden price jumps or dips can easily occur due to news or thin liquidity.

12-Hour Timeframe: Mid-Term Structure​

On the 12H chart, Bitcoin's price action becomes clearer:



RSI has started moving back toward neutral after a period of weakness, indicating that selling pressure has eased.

MACD shows a softer bearish momentum as the histogram gradually shrinks.

Major moving averages still sit above current price levels, confirming that the overall mid-term trend hasn't reversed yet.

Trading volume appears steady but not strong enough to initiate a major move on its own.

The 12H chart often acts as a "transition phase" - price stabilizes after a decline and waits for a catalyst powerful enough to start a new trend.

1-Day Timeframe: The Broader Picture​

The daily chart helps us understand the larger context:



MA50 and MA99 remain above the price, showing that the market is still within a corrective structure.

RSI sits between 47 and 52 - a purely neutral zone where the market is sensitive to any major news event.

MACD is tightening toward a potential crossover, which can sometimes mark the beginning of a new trend.

Daily volume has weakened, meaning traders are waiting for confirmation before committing capital.

The daily chart suggests accumulation - price is cooling off rather than breaking down, but not yet ready to rally without fresh momentum from external factors.

10 Possible Bitcoin Price Scenarios in the Next 24 Hours​

What This Means for the Next 24 Hours​

The most likely short-term outcome is sideways movement or a mild lift in price. All three timeframes - 1H, 12H, and 1D - indicate stabilization, which often precedes larger moves.

If strong buying flows come in, BTC could break upward. If negative macro news emerges, downside volatility may return quickly. For now, the market is watching major liquidity zones for clues.

Key Factors to Watch​

Short-term stablecoin inflows or outflows

Shifts in futures funding rates

Changes in sentiment indexes such as fear and greed

Macro announcements from global markets

Large trades or whale activity

Liquidation clusters in leveraged markets

Any of these can quickly change Bitcoin's direction.

Conclusion​

Bitcoin remains the central force in the crypto market, and understanding its structure across different timeframes can help traders and long-term observers stay ahead of potential market turns. Whether you're following market sentiment, looking for recovery signals, or simply tracking price behavior, a calm and informed approach will always serve you well.

[December 09, 2025] Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is This The Best Crypto To Buy Now Or Is The Bull Run Over?​

Bitcoin is testing critical support levels at $90, 618 as traders wonder if the crypto bull run is losing steam or if this presents the best cheap crypto to buy now. Let me break down what the charts are telling us and whether BTC could be the next crypto to explode.

Current Market Overview​

Bitcoin is trading at $90, 618 on December 9, 2025, showing a modest 0.5% gain from the previous session. The leading cryptocurrency has been consolidating between $87, 000 and $93, 000 for the past two weeks after a sharp correction from its November peak of $106, 521. This 10.49% decline from year-ago levels has many asking: Is crypto dead, or is this just a healthy pullback before the next leg up?

The crypto fear and greed index currently sits in the fear zone, historically a contrarian signal that savvy investors use to identify accumulation opportunities. Trading volume has declined significantly, suggesting market participants are waiting for the next catalyst.

1-Hour Timeframe Analysis​

On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin remains under pressure as price action trades below both the 5-period and 25-period moving averages. This short-term bearish setup indicates sellers maintain control in the immediate term.



The Relative Strength Index hovers around 44-48, reflecting neutral territory with a slight bearish bias. This neither oversold nor overbought reading suggests continued sideways action is likely unless a significant catalyst emerges.

The MACD indicator shows bearish divergence with the signal line below the MACD line. However, the histogram is narrowing, potentially signaling weakening downside momentum. If the histogram flips positive in coming hours, we could see a short-term bounce.

Volume remains below average on the hourly timeframe, indicating lack of conviction from major traders. High-volume candles typically appear at reversal points or breakouts, but we haven't seen such signals yet.

Key support sits at $89, 500, where price has tested multiple times with positive reactions. A break below targets $88, 000. Resistance remains firm at $92, 000, which has rejected multiple rally attempts over the past week.

12-Hour Timeframe Analysis​

The 12-hour chart provides a clearer mid-term perspective on whether this represents the best crypto to buy now. Bitcoin has formed a consolidation pattern oscillating between $87, 000 and $93, 000 over the past two weeks.



The 50-period moving average trends sideways near current price levels, indicating equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The 99-period moving average acts as overhead resistance around $98, 000.

RSI on the 12-hour timeframe sits at 46, below the neutral 50 level. This shows weakening bullish momentum but hasn't reached oversold territory that would suggest an imminent rebound. If RSI drops below 40, it could present a better entry opportunity for swing traders.

The MACD displays more pronounced bearish signals on this timeframe compared to the 1-hour chart. The MACD line has traded below the signal line since late November, with the negative histogram gradually expanding. This warns long-term holders to exercise caution.

Bollinger Bands are contracting, signaling an impending volatility expansion. Historical patterns suggest significant breakouts or breakdowns typically follow band compression. Price currently trades near the middle band, indicating no clear directional bias.

Structurally, a descending triangle pattern is forming on the 12-hour chart. This typically bearish formation could complete if horizontal support breaks. However, the pattern remains incomplete and could invalidate with an upside breakout.

Daily Timeframe Analysis​

The daily chart reveals Bitcoin's longer-term trajectory. After an impressive November rally from $102, 000 to $114, 000, BTC has entered a correction phase that has many questioning if the bull run crypto momentum is exhausted.



Currently, price trades below all three major moving averages: The 5-day, 25-day, and 99-day MAs. This represents a clear bearish signal on the longer timeframe. The 5-day MA has crossed below the 25-day MA, forming a short-term death cross confirming the downtrend.

The daily RSI stands at 46.38, declining from the overbought 70 level reached in mid-November. This indicates bullish momentum has completely dissipated, and the market is undergoing a healthy correction. If RSI drops below 40, it could signal an attractive entry point for long-term investors seeking the best crypto to buy now.

The MACD shows strong bearish signals on the daily timeframe. The MACD line crossed below the signal line in late November, with the gap widening progressively. The expanding negative histogram confirms increasing downward momentum, a concerning sign for near-term prospects.

The Stochastic RSI resides in oversold territory around 20-30, suggesting potential for a bounce. However, this indicator can remain oversold during strong downtrends, so it shouldn't be used in isolation.

Daily volume remains moderate, significantly lower than the high-volatility days in November. This declining participation reflects waning market interest. On Balance Volume also trends lower, indicating money flow is leaving the market.

Fibonacci retracement from the $84, 000 low to $114, 000 high shows current price at the 0.618 level, a deep pullback zone. Failure to hold this level could target the 0.786 Fibonacci at $84, 000-$85, 000. Conversely, recovery would face initial resistance at the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $99, 000.

10 Potential Bitcoin Price Scenarios In Next 24 Hours​

Technical Indicator Deep Dive​

Understanding key technical indicators helps answer whether Bitcoin represents the best crypto to buy now or if caution is warranted.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence currently shows bearish signals across all three timeframes. On the daily chart, the MACD value of -2, 262 reflects significant selling pressure. However, the narrowing histogram slope suggests downward momentum may be slowing.

The Relative Strength Index at 46.11 indicates neutral market conditions. Historically, when RSI drops below 40, Bitcoin often experiences strong recoveries. With RSI approaching this zone, it could present accumulation opportunities for those seeking the next crypto to explode.

Volume Profile analysis reveals the highest liquidity zone between $92, 000-$95, 000. This Point of Control represents the most traded area and typically becomes strong support or resistance. With price below this zone, the market displays weakness.

The Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart shows price trading beneath the cloud, a clear bearish signal. The Tenkan-sen has crossed below the Kijun-sen, generating a sell signal. The Chikou Span also trades below price, further confirming the downtrend. For bullish sentiment to return, price must reclaim the cloud above $98, 000.

Average True Range registers above normal levels, indicating elevated market volatility. While higher ATR presents larger profit opportunities, it also increases risk. Rigorous risk management becomes essential during high-volatility periods.

Market Sentiment And Macro Factors​

Current market sentiment leans cautious. The crypto fear and greed index sits firmly in fear territory, reflecting investor anxiety. From a contrarian investing perspective, extreme fear often presents buying opportunities, potentially making this the best cheap crypto to buy now for patient investors.

Macro factors significantly impact cryptocurrency valuations. Federal Reserve monetary policy, inflation data, and cryptocurrency regulations remain critical variables to monitor. The Fed's current high interest rate policy creates pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin ETF money flows serve as important institutional sentiment indicators. Recent weeks have seen significantly slower inflows compared to November, suggesting institutional investors are adopting a more cautious stance toward crypto markets.

Whale activity deserves attention. On-chain data shows large Bitcoin holders are gradually accumulating at current price levels. This could be a positive signal indicating big players believe in Bitcoin's long-term prospects despite the current bull run crypto concerns.

Trading Strategies And Risk Management​

Given current market conditions, clear trading strategies and strict risk management are essential. For short-term traders, range trading between $89, 000-$92, 000 could generate consistent profits. Buy at support and sell at resistance with tight stop losses.

Long-term investors might view this as an accumulation opportunity, implementing dollar-cost averaging rather than deploying all capital at once. This strategy effectively averages entry prices during volatile markets. Consider dividing capital into weekly or monthly purchases to minimize timing risk.

Stop losses are non-negotiable in any trade. Buyers entering at current levels should place stops below $87, 000 to protect capital. Those holding from higher prices might consider partial profit-taking to reduce risk or maintain positions if conviction in long-term prospects remains strong.

Take-profit targets matter equally. Don't get greedy during rallies. If price recovers to $94, 000-$95, 000, consider booking partial profits and waiting for better opportunities. Remember, profits are only real once realized.

Portfolio diversification forms a crucial risk management component. Don't put all eggs in one basket. Alongside Bitcoin, consider other promising altcoins or traditional assets to reduce overall portfolio risk.

Outlook And Final Thoughts​

Overall, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing a correction phase following November's strong rally. Technical indicators show bearish signals across multiple timeframes, but no signs of catastrophic collapse. The $88, 000-$90, 000 zone remains critical support to monitor.

Over the next 24 hours, the most likely scenario is continued sideways consolidation within the current range at 28% probability. However, investors should prepare mentally for both upside and downside scenarios, as crypto markets always contain surprises.

Long-term, Bitcoin's outlook remains positive with increasing participation from major financial institutions. Growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate payment method by countries and large corporations will provide important growth drivers for the future, supporting the bull run crypto thesis.

Whether Bitcoin is the best crypto to buy now depends on your risk tolerance and investment timeline. The current fear in the market, combined with oversold technical readings, could present opportunities for patient investors. However, the question "is crypto dead" reflects the pessimism that often precedes recoveries.

Stay updated with crypto news regularly to catch the latest developments. This market moves rapidly, and important news can completely change the landscape within hours. Maintain a learning mindset and flexibility in your market approach.

Finally, remember that cryptocurrency investment always carries high risk. Only invest money you can afford to lose and always conduct thorough research before making decisions. Success in this market comes not from luck but from knowledge, discipline, and patience.

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