[11/24/2025] Comprehensive Analysis of BTC Price Volatility: 1-Hour, 12-Hour, and 1-Day Timeframes with 10 Possible Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to exhibit significant volatility across multiple timeframes, driven by weakening momentum, expanding volatility bands, and shifts in market liquidity. In this in-depth analysis, we break down BTC's behavior through the 1-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day charts while highlighting key technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, MA clusters, volume flow, and OBV. At the end of the article, you'll find a probability-weighted table of 10 potential BTC scenarios in the next 24 hours.



This article aims to help readers better understand near-term BTC volatility and market structure changes.

1. BTC Analysis on the 1-Hour Chart​

On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC remains in a clear short-term downtrend characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows.

Key Observations​

Moving Averages (MA 25 & MA 99)

MA 25 is positioned below MA 99, confirming a bearish short-term structure.

The gap between the two moving averages remains wide, signaling a persistent downtrend without early signs of reversal.

Rsi (14)

RSI is hovering near 49, indicating neutral momentum.

The indicator has exited oversold territory, suggesting the recent bounce is a weak technical rebound rather than a strong reversal.

Macd

MACD remains below both the signal line and the zero line.

Although histogram bars are gradually shrinking, they do not yet indicate a bullish crossover.

Volume Profile

No significant spike in volume during recovery candles.

Low-volume rebounds typically reflect a lack of buyer conviction.

1-Hour Chart Summary​

BTC is showing mild recovery but remains structurally bearish. A decisive break above 87, 000–88, 000 USD on strong volume would shift momentum. However, a breakdown below 84, 000 USD could trigger fresh sell pressure.

2. BTC Analysis on the 12-Hour Chart​

The 12-hour chart offers a medium-term perspective, and the market remains biased toward a downtrend.

Key Technical Signals​

Moving Averages (MA 25 & MA 99)

MA 25 has crossed below MA 99, signaling a breakdown of the medium-term bullish structure.

This often precedes multi-session declines unless buyers return with strong volume.

Rsi (14)

RSI around 35 indicates increased bearish pressure.

The level is close to oversold territory but not low enough to confirm a reversal.

Macd

MACD continues to descend sharply.

The wide distance between MACD and the signal line indicates ongoing bearish acceleration.

Volume Behavior

Selling volume increases during down legs, reinforcing the bearish momentum.

Bollinger Band Width (BBW)

BBW expansion indicates growing volatility, suggesting BTC may experience strong moves in the short term.

12-Hour Chart Summary​

BTC's medium-term structure remains bearish. The price sits near a critical demand zone at 84, 000–85, 000 USD. Strong buy pressure is required to stabilize the chart. Otherwise, BTC may continue trending downward.

3. BTC Analysis on the 1-Day Chart​

The 1-day timeframe offers the clearest view of BTC's macro short-term trend. BTC shows signs of being oversold while still in an intact downtrend.

Key Technical Highlights​

Moving Averages (MA 7 – MA 25 – MA 99)

MA 7 is below MA 25.

Price is trading below all major MAs (7, 25, and 99).

→ Clear bearish alignment.

Rsi (14)

RSI~28 indicates oversold conditions.

Historically, BTC often sees at least a short-term rebound when RSI drops below 30.

Macd

MACD is deeply negative, though histogram bars are narrowing.

This often signals slowing bearish pressure but not a confirmed reversal.

OBV (On-Balance Volume)

OBV continues to trend downward, suggesting sustained selling pressure.

No signs of accumulation from large buyers.

Volume Activity

Higher volume on selling candles confirms real selling interest.

1-Day Chart Summary​

BTC is in a major support area and heavily oversold, but without strong inflows, the trend remains bearish. Sustainable reversal requires BTC to reclaim 90, 000 USD with volume expansion.

4. Ten BTC Price Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​

Conclusion​

Across the 1-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day charts, BTC generally remains in a bearish phase with signs of oversold conditions. While short-term rebounds may occur, the broader trend remains weak unless BTC recaptures higher price levels with convincing volume. Traders should closely monitor the 84, 000–90, 000 USD zone, as price action here will likely dictate the next directional move.

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[11/26/2025] BTC Price Volatility Outlook – Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis (1H, 12H, 1D)​

1H Timeframe Analysis​

The 1-hour chart reflects the clearest short-term weakness. Price action repeatedly interacts with the moving averages from above, failing to break through.



RSI remains slightly below neutral, suggesting buyers are not active enough to shift momentum. MACD remains in bearish territory with a flattening slope, indicating a potential short consolidation phase rather than an immediate trend reversal.

Volume continues to taper during upward retracement candles-an indication that dips are still being sold aggressively.

The 86–87k region is emerging as a key intraday balance zone, showing repeated consolidation and acting as temporary support.

12H Timeframe Analysis​

The 12-hour chart confirms a stronger and more mature downtrend. Price has broken below mid-term MAs and continues to trail beneath them without a successful retest.



RSI stays low but not oversold, implying further downside remains possible.

MACD widens negatively, showing sustained bearish momentum. Any rebound at this stage risks becoming a failed rally rather than a trend shift.

The OBV line trends steadily downward, signaling continuous capital outflow and a distribution phase rather than accumulation.

1D Timeframe Analysis​

The daily timeframe provides the broader context:



Bitcoin's mid-trend structure has transitioned into a confirmed downtrend. Price has slipped beneath major support zones and now trades in a deeper correction channel.

RSI sits under 40, reinforcing bearish control while still leaving room for additional downside before exhaustion.

MACD on the 1D timeframe shows strong negative separation-momentum remains firmly bearish.

Volume upticks during selling sessions validate the strength of sellers, further reinforcing the current direction of the trend.

Volatility and Bollinger Band Assessment​

Bollinger Bands on the 1H and 12H chart are narrowing, signaling an imminent volatility expansion.

When BB compression aligns with a broader downtrend, probabilities often favor the breakout occurring downward-unless a large spike in buying volume appears.

Key Support & Resistance Zones​

Support Levels:

• 86k – 85k (local support)

• 83k – 82k (medium support)

• 78k – 76k (macro support)

Resistance Levels:

• 88k – 90k (local resistance)

• 92k – 94k (major resistance)

• 98k – 100k (macro resistance)

A break below 85k could trigger stops and accelerate the decline toward 82k.

Conversely, a 1-hour close above 90k with strong volume may signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Market Sentiment Insights​

Long periods of decline often create defensive market psychology. Many short-term traders reduce exposure, leading to lower liquidity and increasing the likelihood of sudden spikes or flash crashes.

Long-term investors, however, typically reduce selling pressure during dips, creating pockets of consolidation that precede strong directional moves.

BTC Price Scenarios for the Next 24 Hours​

Extended Summary​

Across all timeframes, BTC displays synchronized bearish structure, declining momentum, and weakening buyer participation-a pattern typical of late correction phases.

Although the dominant direction remains bearish, early signals of micro-divergence on the 1H chart suggest the possibility of a technical bounce.

For the next 24 hours, the 85k and 90k zones will be crucial in determining short-term direction. Traders should expect controlled volatility unless external catalysts intervene.

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